Clean Energy Innovation Risk Modeling

Underwrite the energy transition with confidence.

A U.S.-focused analytics platform that quantifies, models, and reports risk across Battery Storage, Nuclear SMR, and Geothermal projects — purpose-built for insurers, developers, banks, and regulators.

8weighted risk factors
10,000Monte Carlo trials
5live data sources
Built for Insurers Project Developers Banks & Lenders Regulators
Technology Coverage

Purpose-built for next-generation clean energy

Generic energy models miss the risk drivers that define emerging technologies. We model each asset class on its own terms — from seismic exposure to license stage to cost benchmarks.

Battery Storage

Grid-scale and co-located storage modeled against NREL ATB cost curves, degradation profiles, and merchant/PPA revenue structures.

Cost benchmarks Offtake structure

Nuclear SMR

Small modular reactors evaluated against NRC license stage, application status, and recent event severity — the regulatory factors that dominate SMR risk.

NRC licensing Regulatory

Geothermal

Conventional and enhanced geothermal systems scored on USGS seismic zones, event frequency, and technology cost ratios vs. benchmark.

Seismic exposure Physical risk
The Platform

From raw project data to capital requirements

One workspace to ingest projects, score risk, simulate losses, and report capital — with live market and regulatory data behind every number.

8-Factor Risk Scoring

Weighted composite across Technology, Regulatory, Construction, Counterparty, Physical, Financial, Operational, and Workforce risk.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000-trial loss distributions using a Cholesky-decomposed t-Copula with Poisson frequency and log-normal severity.

$

NAIC RBC Capital

C-1 through C-4 capital charges computed with the NAIC covariance formula — asset, insurance, interest-rate, and business risk.

Live Data Pipeline

Automated connectors pull NREL, EIA, USGS, FRED, and NRC data so scores reflect current market and regulatory conditions.

Portfolio Management

Organize projects into multiple portfolios with per-portfolio risk summaries, capital rollups, and side-by-side comparison.

AI-Assisted Import

Upload a CSV, Excel register, or a PDF term sheet — an AI agent maps unstructured documents straight into structured project fields.

How It Works

Four steps from project to portfolio capital

1

Ingest projects

Add projects manually or let the AI agent extract them from spreadsheets and documents into structured records.

2

Sync live data

The pipeline refreshes cost benchmarks, seismic events, macro indicators, and reactor status from five public sources.

3

Score & simulate

The engine computes 8-factor composite scores and runs Monte Carlo to produce full loss distributions per project.

4

Report capital

Roll losses into portfolio-level NAIC RBC capital and export risk registers and RBC tables for review.

The Risk Model

Eight weighted factors. Transparent by design.

Every composite score decomposes into eight factors with fixed weights summing to 1.0 — each driven by a specific, auditable data source.

Technology22%
Regulatory18%
Construction15%
Counterparty12%
Physical11%
Financial10%
Operational8%
Workforce4%

Loss distribution

10,000-trial Monte Carlo with a Cholesky-decomposed t-Copula, Poisson frequency, and log-normal severity captures tail dependence between correlated projects.

$

NAIC RBC capital

Covariance formula across C-1 asset risk, C-2 insurance risk, C-3 interest-rate risk, and C-4 business risk, per the NAIC standard.

Correlation rollup

Subcomponent correlations mathematically aggregate into factor- and category-level matrices, keeping scores and simulations internally consistent.

Data Sources

Grounded in authoritative public data

Scores are only as good as their inputs. Every factor traces back to a named, refreshable source.

NREL
ATB 2024 CapEx, OpEx & capacity factors
Annual
EIA
Monthly generation & retail prices by state
Monthly
USGS
M≥2.5 seismic events & state risk multipliers
On-demand
FRED
Fed funds, 10Y Treasury, PPI & construction costs
Monthly
NRC
Reactor license status, SMR filings & event logs
Monthly
Regulatory Frameworks

Report against the standard that matters

NAIC RBC Solvency II Lloyd's RDS Basel IV TCFD IFRS 9
3emerging asset classes
8weighted risk factors
5authoritative data feeds
10kMonte Carlo trials per run
Get Started

See your clean energy portfolio through a risk lens.

Launch the platform to model your projects, or reach out for a guided walkthrough tailored to your portfolio.